Cafe Bedouin
Cafe Bedouin
This is my show. It’s a blog as hupomnemata. Michael Foucault defined hupomnemata as a personal notebook similar to a spiritual journal but with a different goal. He did not want “to pursue the unspeakable, nor to reveal the hidden, nor to say the unsaid [like a spiritual journal does], but on the contrary to capture the already said, to collect what one has managed to hear or read, and for a purpose that is nothing less than the shaping of the self.”
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Note: Commentary on Nebel, A., Kling, A., Willamowski, R., & Schell, T. (2024). Recalibration of limits to growth: An update of the World3 model. Journal of Industrial Ecology, 28, 87–99. https://doi.org/10.1111/jiec.13442 What the World3 recalibration proves, and the one thing it cannot Nebel, Kling, Willamowski...
David Sinclair’s secret pill is the decoy. His longevity contest is really a bid to privatize the measurement of aging itself — and a Saudi sovereign wealth fund is paying to host the carving of the ruler. The pill is a decoy. The most valuable thing in David Sinclair’s longevity contest is not a drug that makes you...
A seller-side report from the vote market. Yesterday’s essay reconstructed the vote market from its transaction records — responsiveness regressions, the forty-year evangelical purchase, the post-1998 European repricing. Transaction records have a blind spot: they show what cleared, not what it felt like to be the...
For forty years, the best empirical work on policy responsiveness has produced two findings that do not fit together. The first: when the preferences of low- and middle-income Americans diverge from those of the affluent, the relationship between what the less advantaged want and what government does is...
A currency does three separate things. In 2026 they started moving in opposite directions at once — and the job everyone watches is the one that matters least. In the first quarter of 2026, three measurements of the dollar’s standing pointed three different ways in the same window. Its share of the world’s official...
The U.S.–China relationship is usually described as a rivalry. Its core mechanism is a recycling machine — and the people who pay for it don’t get a vote on either side. In 2025, as tariffs climbed and “decoupling” became the organizing word of American China policy, China’s external surplus did not shrink. It hit a...
2026 is a margin call on strategic ambiguity — and the underwriter is liquidating its own book Start with the bases, because they explain everything that follows without anyone having to assert a theory. After 2001, the United States ringed Iran with military infrastructure: Al Udeid in Qatar, Al Dhafra in the...
A support ticket that reads “the app is broken” is a request for help. A ticket that reads “the checkout service returns a 500 only on Tuesdays, only when the cart payload exceeds two megabytes, and only after the nightly cron job has run” is something else. The second is not a better-worded version of the first. It...
You believe something. The market will turn. The hire won’t last. The institution is rotting. You’ve done the work, the reasoning holds, you’re fairly sure. Before you act, ask one thing: will the world ever grade this belief, or only you? It sounds trivial. It’s the most useful sorting move I know, and careful...
You believe something. The market will turn. The hire won’t last. The institution is rotting. You’ve done the work, the reasoning holds, you’re fairly sure. Before you act, one question sorts almost everything that follows: will the world ever grade this belief, or only you? It sounds trivial. It is the most useful...
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